2015 NFL Mock Draft
Last Updated: October 19, 2014
Lou Pickney, DraftKing.com
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2015 NFL Mock Draft
Here is the order I will use, based on the odds of winning the next Super Bowl (adjusted for actual playoff possibilities for spots 21-32, e.g. no two teams from the same conference at #31 and #32) just as I always do from this point in the process through roughly midway into the season. People seem to get more upset at me over perceived slights about a given team than the actual projections. Odds for this will vary depending on where you look, but this is for demonstrative purposes more than anything.
1. Jacksonville Jaguars - Randy Gregory, DE/OLB, Nebraska (6'6" 245)*
A team trading up to draft Marcus Mariota makes sense. Absent that, a massive, game-changing defensive force like Gregory would be a huge addition to Jacksonville's front seven.
2. Oakland Raiders - Cedric Ogbuehi, OT, Texas A&M (6'5" 300)
Week one starting rookie QB Derek Carr will need to have his team to improve the offensive line in order for the Raiders to find success in 2015.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Leonard Williams, DL, USC (6'5" 300) *
It's entirely possible that Tampa Bay would select Mariota here if he were to still be on the board. Jameis Winston might also be a consideration, though adding a true elite hole-stuffer like Williams could be a major boost for the defense. Keep in mind that Mike Glennon was drafted by a previous regime in Tampa Bay.
4. Washington Redskins - Brandon Scherff, OT, Iowa (6'5" 320)
Scherff is not your typical offensive line prospect -- the guy is a very versatile athlete. But he's also one of the top-ranked offensive linemen prospects ahead of next year's NFL Draft.
5. New York Jets - Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama (6'1" 200) *
It would seem right that the Jets, who have some major defecits at wide receiver, end up with the top wide receiver prospect in the draft. (Note: this projection was made prior to the Jets trading for Percy Harvin, but even with Harvin I would suggest that the Jets would still potentially take Cooper here.)
6. Tennessee Titans - Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon (6'4" 215) *
No way that Mariota falls out of the top five, right? It's hard to say considering recent developments with top QB prospects sliding down the board further in many cases than what is expcted.
7. St. Louis Rams - Jameis Winston, QB, Florida St. (6'4" 235) *
Winston is super precise with his throws, which makes him so valuable as a potential NFL QB. As his decision-making skills grow, he could potentially become an elite quarterback someday. He would be a great fit for the Rams particularly if the end of the Sam Bradford era is near.
8. Minnesota Vikings - Dante Fowler, DE/OLB, Florida (6'2" 260) *
Fowler is a playmaking menace with strong pass-rushing skills -- just what the doctor ordered for Minnesota.
9. Atlanta Falcons - Leonard Floyd, DE/OLB, Georgia (6'3" 225) *
Like the Vikings, the Falcons need help in rushing the passer. Floyd is a good fit as a 3-4 OLB and should be able to thrive in Atlanta's defense if given the opportunity.
10. Miami Dolphins - Benardrick McKinney, ILB, Mississippi St. (6'4" 245) *
There are many different directions that Miami could go here, but they would be well served to consider McKinney. He's a tackling machine who could add some bite to the Dolphins' front seven.
11. Cleveland Browns (via Buffalo) - Devin Funchess, WR/TE, Michigan (6'5" 230) *
Cleveland has one of the most talented wide receivers in the game in Josh Gordon, but with his suspension history he unfortunately can't be counted on to carry the receiving load. Funchess is a former tight end who has switched to wide receiver at Michigan, and at 6'5" he has the height to create some serious matchup problems.
12. Houston Texans - Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona St. (6'4" 210) *
Is this where the run on wide receivers really takes off? Perhaps. Opinions vary considerably on wideouts beyond Cooper as the near-consensus top WR prospect, but Strong has the all-important height edge to go with a flair for the dramatic -- he caught the Hail Mary pass that gave Arizona State a 38-34 win at USC earlier this season.
13. Pittsburgh Steelers - Ifo Ekpre-Olomu, CB, Oregon (5'9" 195)
Adding a top-flight talent to a secondary that could sure use the boost makes sense here. IEO is the top corner prospect on many boards.
14. Kansas City Chiefs - Sammy Coates, WR, Auburn (6'2" 200) *
There's a reason that Coates is number one on Bruce Feldman's list of college football freaks for 2014. Raw speed is a very valuable commodity in the NFL.
15. New York Giants - Shaq Thompson, DE/OLB, Washington (6'2" 230) *
There are several options here for the Giants, including going with a front seven defensive threat like Thompson.
16. Cleveland Browns - Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia (6'2" 230) *
How messed up is the NCAA/NFL talent development system? Gurley faces a suspension due to an investigation into the possible breaking of NCAA rules, but this has actually boosted his draft stock since it means less wear-and-tear and, in particular, less risk of injury. And the dude is legit. Gurley was NFL-ready last year and is just biding his time now until he can finally join the pros.
17. Carolina Panthers - Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford (6'7" 310) *
Finding a suitable replacement for now-retired offensive tackle Jordan Gross has proven more challenging than perhaps what the Panthers anticipated. Peat could fill that role quite nicely.
18. Chicago Bears - Spencer Drango, OT, Baylor (6'5" 315) *
Adding depth/talent to the offensive line is one of the possible moves the Bears could take this off-season.
19. New Orleans Saints - Michael Bennett, DT, Ohio St. (6'2" 290)
The Saints need to improve their pass rush, and adding Bennett into the equation would help with that.
20. Detroit Lions - La'El Collins, OL, LSU (6'5" 315) *
Collins is a versatile talent who could add needed depth on the offensive line for Detroit.
21. Arizona Cardinals - Brett Hundley, QB, UCLA (6'3" 230) *
There is talk that the Cardinals want to sign Carson Palmer to a contract extension. Considering his age and injury issues, I'm not sure how wise that is. If that happens, maybe the Cardinals don't go QB here. If not, Hundley would seem like a good fit.
22. Philadelphia Eagles - Vic Beasley, DE/OLB, Clemson (6'2" 235)
Beasley is an exceptional pass rusher who could join an already talented defensive front seven in Philadelphia.
23. Baltimore Ravens - Marcus Peters, CB, Washington (6'0" 200)
It seems plausible that the Ravens would look to go with a corner in round one -- and Peters could be a strong addition for Baltimore. Peters is one of a number of capable corners who could go in the late first/early second round range.
24. Cincinnati Bengals - Shawn Oakman, DE, Baylor (6'8" 275) *
Plenty of options for Cincinnati here, and a defensive force like Oakman could be a very deft addition to the team.
25. Dallas Cowboys - Arik Armstead, DL, Oregon (6'8" 295) *
Dallas could do far worse than drafting a guy like Armstead with amazing size and athleticism.
26. Indianapolis Colts - Landon Collins, SS, Alabama (6'0" 215) *
There is no question that Collins is a highly-touted prospect, just like he was out of high school, and his big hitting ability could be a great fit for the Colts.
27. San Diego Chargers - Alvin "Bud" Dupree, DE/OLB, Kentucky (6'4" 265)
Dupree comes up big in key situations, as he did with the pick-six that helped the Wildcats knock off South Carolina.
28. San Francisco 49ers - Shilique Calhoun, DE/OLB, Michigan St. (6'4" 255) *
The run on front seven defensive players in this area shouldn't be a surprise. In the modern NFL, defensive linemen with NFL caliber size and ability to effective pressure the quarterback are highly coveted.
29. New England Patriots - Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Oklahoma (6'5" 225) *
Only fitting to match the arguably biggest enigma in the draft class with the team that is nearly impossible to predict. The raw ability of DGB could be utilized quite effectively by Bill Belichick and company.
30. Green Bay Packers - Danny Shelton, DT, Washington (6'2" 330)
Stopping the run is a need for Green Bay, one that the massive Shelton should help make happen if he ends up in Green Bay.
31. Denver Broncos - A.J. Cann, OG, S. Carolina (6'3" 320)
Offensive line has to be a top priority for Denver, particularly if Peyton Manning returns for 2015.
32. Seattle Seahawks - Shane Ray, DE, Missouri (6'2" 240)
If Cliff Avril decides to roll the dice in free agency (after memorably turning down what turned out to be a better deal to stay in Detroit), he will need to be replaced. And given that Seattle will be almost for sure giving Russell Wilson a giant pay increase soon, finding cap room will be key.
* indicates player with NCAA eligibility for 2015 who may opt to enter the 2015 NFL Draft
~ indicates player with NCAA eligibility for 2015 who has either declared for the 2015 NFL Draft or who has signed with an agent